The article What’s Going On in the Markets? 5 Theories to Explain the Chaos was written by Sauyma Vaishampayan, and was published February 10, 2016. The topic of this article was to explore possible reasons for why there is currently an abundance of volatility in the stock market. In this article the topics of short term interest rates, the yuan value, oil prices, are examined along with their effect on the Stock Market.
The key economic events and issues discussed in this article was first how the FED’s decision to raise short term interest rates affect the stock market. In the article it was concluded that due to short term interest rates being raised investors had the incentive to believe that banks would pocket an expanding difference
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However due to the yields decreasing investors decided to pull out, which in turn caused the stock prices to drop. The second issue discussed in the article was the possible devaluation of the yuan. The article stated that a devaluation of the yuan could again lead to another global selloff. Due to China being an economic powerhouse and due to the lack of information there is widespread fear among the market. The third topic discussed in this article was how the U.S. Stock Market is performing poorly due to decreases in the manufacturing sector, job growth, unemployment and wages. This slowdown is generating fear that there is going to be a sharp slowdown in emerging markets. The fourth topic discussed in this article were how Sovereign-Wealth funds are liquidating stocks, which is accelerating the U.S. market selloff. Due to oil prices decreasing companies are …show more content…
The recent increase in the short term interest rate is an important topic when discussing its effect on the stock market as the .25% increase in interest rates was the first rise in interest rates in almost a decade. This rise in interest rates affects the Stock Market through companies spending less which in turn causes consumers to believe their stock price is lower. This idea is due to the fact that as short term interest rates increase, there is a decrease in the availability of money as the cost to borrow money becomes greater. This in turn will slow the growth of the economy, and thus the stock market. Another point that was not mentioned in the article that explains the chaos in the market is how investors currently have the option of investing in the stock market at a 3-4 % yield with high risk or a 1.76% yield in government bonds at zero risk. As demonstrated there is not a significant reason to currently invest in the stock market with such low returns. The second issue of the devaluation of the yuan leads to transnational competition for scarce export earnings. This means that Chinese exports will become cheaper, and Chinese products will be purchased over another competing
Keeping interest rate low caused the economy to overheat and inflation to sky rocketed out of control. The video talked about the Fed-Treasury Accord of 1951. This act allowed the Federal Reserve to operate independent from the government so it can set the right interest rate. That way it can access economic stability. Since 1951 the Fed has been independent from political pressure
“Stocks look dangerously high to me” Allen states as he describes the opinion of a banker, who was beginning to lose trust in stocks that were supposed to make the poor rich. The mentality of the banker spread to more Americans who eventually pulled their money out of the market, which was a major cause of the stock market crash of 1929. Before the fear of the banker reached Americans, they were hopeful for their returns from the market as their stocks were reaching their peaks. During this time the “stock market underwent rapid expansion” where the prices skyrocketed and sparked hope for some investors. The articles helped to ensure the public that the time to pull out of the market was near.
The excessive spending came to a breaking point when investors traded about sixteen million shares on the New York Stock Exchange in all but one day. Billions of dollars went down the drain in result of the trades and thousands of investors went bankrupt. Speculators got a rude awakening once they lost all of their money in hopes of gaining more. Harry J. Carmen considers speculation as “the final development that set the stage for the collapse of American prosperity” (Doc 5). So much chaos happened in so little time due to speculation and that was just one reason behind the economy collapsing.
On March 15, 2017, the Federal Reserve has risen its interest rate by 0.25 percent. With this increase, the minimum interest rate that investors demand on their investment increased from 0.75 percent to 1.0 percent. This is the second increase in a span of 3 months, with the previous one occurring during December 2016. With two increases happening so quickly, pulling the interest rate away from zero which occurred during the economic depression of 2008, people finally have more money to spend as the Federal Reserve is increasing borrowing costs. Before December 2016, the economy was growing much more slowly than it is now, as it had been 12 months before the Federal Reserve had increased the interest rate.
Investors poured money into equities, convinced that the market would climb endlessly, “...most of America waited for supply to create its own demand, waited for the business cycle to run its natural course, waited for the stock market to get back on its upward course”
The forty-six billion the Fed gave to lenders was two-hundred times more than the daily average. The quick infusion of cash was a far cry from normal Fed operations. On the day of the 9-11 attack, the S&P 500 dropped 4.9% and continued to go down causing markets to crash in less than a weak. The Federal Reserve’s quick and decisive action, however, helped the markets return to normal in just over 19 days. This action helped keep the U.S economy stable and prevent an economic
During the decade the United States stock market began to undergo an extreme expansion. So much so it seemed that investing in the stock market was the only way to make quick money. It was popular as it wasn’t only for the rich it was something that even ordinary citizens could partake in to make money. Although this seemed to be an extreme financial gain for the country the lure didn’t last long. Inevitably prices fell into their expected decline leaving millions of shareholders left rushing to liquidate their holdings.
The biggest enemy to the end of the financial crisis and the beginning of an economic recovery is Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson himself. Lets forget for a minute that the decision by Paulson and Bernanke to let Lehman Brothers fail was the precipitating event leading to credit markets freezing up and the first round of financial panic. Since then, the two have been working diligently to correct this collosal mistake. But separating actions from words, we see that words are in fact much more potent. Since the end of September, every time Henry Paulson has opened his month, the Dow has dropped on average 196 points.
The US holds about 30% of the world's economy. As such, a booming economy in America constitutes a booming economy globally; vice versa. Internationally and domestically, the stock markets were hit hard by the crumbling world trade centre. Stocks in travel, entertainment and online travel agencies hit rock bottom. Furthermore, insurance losses due to 9/11 almost doubled from the previously recognised “largest disaster” of Hurricane Andrew.
However, the “steadily rising price of stocks” on the Wall Street stock market attracted more investors (Give Me Liberty, Eric Foner, pg 786). “Many assumed that
During the 20s, stocks rose dramatically in value and Americans bought them with the hopes of becoming rich quickly. This fueled the stock market. However, similarly to installment buying, people bought stocks on margin and promised to pay back the borrowed money at a later time when they were ready to sell the stock. This was a flawed system though, mainly because if a stock’s price dropped, Americans didn’t have the funds to cover their losses (https://www.yonkerspublicschools.org/cms/lib/NY01814060/Centricity/Domain/4975/The%20Causes%20of%20the%20Great%20Depression%20.pdf). The amount of stocks being purchased on margin should’ve been an indicator of a recession in the near
The argument of whether the government should help out wall street is an immense discussion among Americans. Americans are unsure whether the pros of the government helping out businesses outweigh the cons. The main question among this topic is what will help our economy out of the recession the most. This issue has caused an ongoing argument for many years.
One element that decides the position of the stock market is interest rates due to their effect on the total money spent in the economy. Another element is supply and demand due to its influence on stock prices. Most of these factors involve changing the confidence of investors in buying stocks. A significant issue that is taken into consideration when investing is economic inflation or deflation (Investopedia, “Key Factors). Other concerns include natural disasters, corporate/government performance data, technological changes, fiscal and monetary policy, and foreign conflicts (Investopedia, “Key Factors).
This paper will analyze the relationship between stock performance in the USA and strength of the US dollar. Because equity is an important part of financial market in the USA, performance of stock implies the status of US economy. Investors abroad will make investment decisions based on US stock market performance. Many domestic investors invest in the stock market for children’s education funds and their retirement funds. It is important to examine the US stock market so stockholders are confident about their investment.
With the recent complicated economic financial environments, there may be some abnormal relationships comparing with the theories. We cannot examine them in the project. 3.