For my research theory paper, I will be writing a research paper on two theories and will then apply them to a real world situation. However, for the purpose of this paper today, I will be talking about the rational deterrence theory. Throughout this paper, I will talk about the deterrence theory and talk about the different points of the theory. This is the first of my two theories I will be talking about. The purpose of this paper is to help set the foundation of the paper by defining what the deterrence theory is. In addition to the definition, I will also state some examples of the rational deterrence theory as well. By the end of this paper, the definition along with a foundation will be set on what the rational deterrence theory is. Also, I am writing about this theory now because it will make it easier to write the …show more content…
Sagan says war would be less likely to break out because of the costs that it would bring with it. The economic part of the war can be linked to other theories of war as well, thus it truly goes hand in hand with other theories of war. For example, a comparison to an economic theory would be how they would not want to use nuclear weapons because it would destroy the economy. Another theory rational deterrence theory would relate to is the bipolar world. For example, a country would not want to start a nuclear war because of fears of how the countries with the regional area would respond. The unpredictability of the responsiveness is too great to start a nuclear war. One last thing rational deterrence theory relates to is the secure second strike theory. In this theory, a country will not use nuclear weapons on another country first due to the fear of another country potentially having the ability to have enough nuclear weapons to carry out a counter-attack on a
In "The Most Dangerous Game" by Richard Connell, the external conflicts faced by Sanger Rainsford, the protagonist, create an internal conflict within him. The external conflicts include his struggle to survive on a remote island, his pursuit by General Zaroff, and his participation in the deadly game of hunting humans. These external conflicts force Rainsford to question his beliefs and values, leading to an internal conflict about his own humanity and the morality of the hunt. At the beginning of the story, Rainsford is a successful big-game hunter who believes in the thrill of the hunt.
Politicians call for missile defense projects. Many defense projects have failed and cost not only the government but taxpayers over 50 billion dollars. Lee Fang, a writer for The Intercept, shows how ineffective these programs have been in the past. The persuasiveness of Lee's argument in his article “Politicians Use North Korea H-Bomb Fears to Pitch Wasteful Missile Defense Projects” is based on a logical approach using facts, (logos), an emotion approach trying to rally us up (pathos), and on his credibility and the creditability of his sources (ethos). Lee's appeal to our logical (logos) side is based on facts.
One of the most powerful factors of criminal sentencing is proving they are remorseful for the wrongdoing of the action they may have committed. If you were a judge in a court of law, and you had to decide the sentences of two different people who committed the same action, one who looked and proved remorse versus one who did not care about their crime and proved no regret; you would most likely dismiss or sentence the person who proved sorrow less than the other non-remorseful person. Except for the crime that you are delivering a verdict on is the sentencing of someone being held accountable for their actions taken in a life-or-death situation. People should not be held accountable in life-or-death situations because they could have been
If war was not perpetually occurring, armies would not be needed. Debts have the potential to cause depression and economic
John Nash’s Theory of Equilibrium and its applications in Game Theory As two people play a game of rock-paper-scissors, they both weigh out the options of choosing one of the three choices. As they think of which hand gesture to choose, there are unknowingly using game theory to predict the outcome of their choices. Game theory is the mathematical study of how people make rational/irrational decisions or choices in games.
According to Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis the “modern design theory, the rational design problem is reduced to selecting among a set of given alternatives, each of which has a given set of consequences.” Taken with the game theory urged by Allison and Zelikow it should result in “optimal choices in narrowly constrained, neatly defined situations. In these situations, rationality refers to an essentially Hobbesian notion of consistent, value-maximizing reckoning or adaption within specified
“Deterrence is the art of producing in the mind of the enemy….. the fear to attack” (55:09). This is the quote used by Dr. Strangelove himself to define deterrence. This lines up with Schelling’s definition which is, in simple words, prevention of actions by fear of consequences (Schelling, p. 71). Another common theme in this movie is Brinkmanship, which Schelling defines as “the creation and deployment of a problematic threat.
The art of fear is essential in nuclear deterrence. Using the film Dr. Strangelove (Stanley Kubrick, 1964) I will argue that nuclear deterrence is hard to achieve when communication of nuclear capabilities is not well established amongst states. In this paper, I will use the film Dr. Strangelove (1964) to argue how theories such as deterrence theory, realist theory, security dilemma, preventative war, pre-emptive war as well as relative gains and zero sum game led to a failure to achieve nuclear deterrence between the United States and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. To make my argument on how more nuclear weapons may hinder deterrence, this essay will proceed as follows; I will firstly discuss the how nuclear deterrence and mutually
As the United States and Soviet Russia entered the Cuban Missile Crisis in October of 1962, it was clear that this was the closest that the two sides had gotten to flirting with the idea of a real nuclear war. As a result of this fact, deliberations between the two for a compromise grew increasingly more tense, and it highlighted the similarities and differences between the United States and Soviet intentions. Clearly, it was in the interest of not only the U.S. and USSR, but the whole human race to find a peaceful compromise to the crisis, and the actions from both sides, public and secret, stopped the greater crisis of nuclear war from happening. The discovery of Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba capable of reaching most points on the North
This also includes the idea of not attacking combatants that have surrendered or those that pose no immediate threat (i.e. those who are parachuting or are shipwrecked). Similar, but different to proportionality in enacting war, proportionality during war refers to the idea that harm and damage caused to civilian populations and property must be deemed as less excessive proportionate to anticipated direct military advantage (Just War Theory). Similarly, military necessity states that an attack or act of violence must be intended to help in the defeat of the enemy (Just War Theory). This principle is
From this, historians can observe a recurrence of the law of retaliation; a major belief in both societies. Furthermore,
“The defense policy of the United States is based on a simple premise: The United States does not start fights. We will never be an aggressor. We maintain our strength in order to deter and defend against aggression -- to preserve freedom and peace. Since the dawn of the atomic age, we've sought to reduce the risk of war by maintaining a strong deterrent and by seeking genuine arms control. ‘Deterrence’ means simply this: making sure any adversary who thinks about attacking the United States, or our allies, or our vital interests, concludes that the risks to him outweigh any potential gains.
In conclusion Prevention is “the desire to fight sooner rather that later” (Mueller, 2006). Although Prevention war is illegal it has still been used as a War Doctrine in famous attacks such as the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Under international law Prevention is illegal because the attack by one actor is made before imminent threat from another actor arises It is uncertain if Prevention of war will continue to be used, although it has been successful in gaining advantage it is a punishable
Game theory is based on the rational actor suspicion. Contemplates that utilization diversion hypothesis to comprehend FPDM as a rule depict states as the unit of examination, albeit much late amusement theoretic work in global relations regards nonstate actors as players too. Amusement scholars frequently dissect arrangements as affected by both local and universal components. A few diversions are displayed with two levels to catch activities at both domestic and global
General deterrence and Specific deterrence at first glance seems like it runs hand and hand. As you look closer and understand it better, you come to the realization that they are two different topics. General deterrence is focused on the legal punishment if you are caught committing a crime. Specific deterrence focuses on punishment of criminals that are apprehended. So many question still remain on how effective both deterrence really are.