FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS – The Hidden Role of Chance in the Markets and in Life By NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB “Random events”, on how we view and deal with them in our lives and in business are the main topics of the book. The author explains what randomness means in our lives and why human beings mistake dumb luck for skill. Nassim Taleb is a professional trader and a mathematics professor examines how and why we attempt to explain occurrences that tends to happen only because they just tend to happen. He provides captivating insight about the financial world and how we commonly mistake luck for skill. His lessons are impactful and scary. While it may be impossible to safeguard ourselves against the unpredictable situations but the lessons provide us the reason that why they tend to occur. PART – ONE: SOLON’S WARNING – SKEWNESS, ASYMMETRY, AND INDUCTION The beginning of book is with short story of Croesus the King of Lydia, the richest man of his time and Solon the Greek legislator known for his wisdom. Croesus asked him if he knew anyone happier than Croesus himself with so much wealth to which Solon gave examples of …show more content…
This is the google definition but in the book is explained with black swan problem where how to find a black swan from the white swans quoted by philosopher David Hume. Not all swans are white is just an inference which can nullify the single observation made that a single swan is black. Author talks about Niederhoffer who is the first in the league of champion investors who stood against market in 1960’s when it was at its worst. He explains that every single action needs to be broken quantitatively to actually analyse it, an example of accidents happen close to home is given in the same respect. The main idea is that we should not go with our own instincts into the market and invest but instead be logical that there can be a glitch at any
Selling the lottery dream is possible because paradoxically, the probabilities of winning are so infinitesimal they become irrelevant. Jane. L. Risen, an associate professor of behavioral science at the university of Chicago, she said despite our advances in reason and mathematics, we still often rely on crude calculations to make decisions ,specially quick decisions like buying the lottery
Solon surely was a dreamer, and a man of simple mind; When the gods would give him fortune, he of his own will declined; When the net was full of fishes, over-heavy thinking it, He declined to haul it up, through want of heart and want of wit. (Plutarch, 1992) The late dark ages in ancient Greece were times of turbulent reform, which gave birth to new styles of governance.
(Lawrence, 1933, p. 310). When you are lucky, this does not mean that people are fortunate economically. The chance of luck is to let things flow without imposing control over them and the situation. In The Rocking-Horse Winner, Paul 's mother gives the impression that to believe in luck is to have money in abundance, and when you do not have money, it is because you do not have
He begins his article by talking about the small chance people have in winning the lottery. Most of the article describes Piore’s interactions with Hargrove, the Lottery legend. He explains that Hargrove “built the state lotteries in Georgia and Florida from scratch” (Piore 700). He also talks about the legend’s expertise in the business of lottery and her “intuitive understanding of what drives her customers to play the game” (Piore 700). The author’s interaction with Hargrove gave him more insight and understanding of the tricks and logical manipulation of human brain in believing what is not factual.
Jonas Fisk Mrs. May English I Honors 15 March 2023 The Odyssey: Legacy or Loyalty In the ancient system of Feudalism, dukes, lords, knights, vassals, and serfs all had to display loyalty to the king or else the kingdom would crumble. Loyalty is made through connections. No connection is stronger than familial bonds.
Rosivach contends that the Athenians continuous inhabitance of Attica was not originally related to Erechteus – the archaic king of Athens – or a genesis from the earth. The author reveals the earliest written example of the Athenians identifying themselves as Erecthediai being in Homer’s ‘Iliad’, highlighting a vast time period in which contrary beliefs were held. Erechteus was initially viewed as a god, rather than a human king, providing no evidence that he was a direct ancestor of the Athenian people. Rosivach states that an autochthonous mentality may have been adopted to assert superiority over the Dorian Spartans after 470 BCE. The author further argues that the definition of ‘autochthony’ is contentious.
Forgione University and has a Bachelor of arts in classics and Ph.D. in classics from Duke university. Therefore, as he has comprehensive knowledge on the topic it can be inferred that the source is significantly reliable. This source is written academically and passively so it doesn 't demonstrate any bias, hence enhancing the reliability as there are only facts stated and there are not any opinions persuading the reader. The source cites a variety of primary sources this means that the information provided is substantiated improving the reliability. This source provided information to my essay that was influential in proving my thesis it explicitly stated the facts on the Athenian tribes and on the procedures carried out in the ancient Greeks form of the democratic system.
The theme “pitfalls of temptation” are demonstrated in The Odyssey by Homer as well as in real life. And, no, this paper is not about how to make bear traps. First, the “pitfalls of temptation” are demonstrated several times in the Odyssey. One example of this is when Odysseus’ men
Socrates presents this myth in order to demonstrate how lying is beneficial to the rule of the state. It is clear to contemporary readers that the citizens of Kallipolis are not truly equal, the same statement can be said of the citizens of the United States. The Myth of Metals seems to persist in ways that are not as fanciful as describe in The Republic, but through social stratification.
This book has given me a greater understanding on the Classics as a whole. The book touches on a plethora of classical topics in chapter 2, and often compares the western civilization to our west. The author also gave me better understanding of the time periods. I didn’t know slaves had better treatment than the free people in Persia at the time, or that war was an enormous role in Classics age. From the western civilization class I’ve took earlier this year, this books discuss the importance of money in a war, when Sparta beat Athens, or when Rome beat the Carthaginians because of the new money they received to build ships.
Both Odysseus and Telemachus, the father and son duo, showcase their individual characterization and journey through stages of deep paralysis as well as a period of recuperation and learning from model kingdoms in Greece. In order to grow and become solid leaders for Ithaca, both Odysseus and Telemachus must have moments of feeling paralyzed and dysfunctional so that they are able to learn how to deal with their situations. For Telemachus, his struggle was at home where he found himself surrounded by suitors who cared only about winning the hand of his mother, Penelope, and thus led to Telemachus’s “heart {to be} obsessed with grief,” (133). This poor nineteen-year-old boy grew up with no father figure and now finds himself to be surrounded
Intelligence Breeds Overconfidence Intelligence is commonly seen as a gift, a perfection or a survival instinct, but many don’t realize that intelligence can undermine a person’s life. In Oedipus Rex, a theatrical play by Sophocles, displays the idea that human flaws such as intellect can flourish overconfidence which may become a downfall. The play revolves around the king Oedipus, in a burdensome experience to find out what who is the murderer of the previous king. He is confident that with his intelligence he will restore Thebes and go against the word of the gods, to later realize that his intelligence is not a gift but a destruction. As previously stated Oedipus tries to use his intelligence to stop the curse of Thebes.
Introduction The history of Western civilization was influenced by the Ancient Greece in more than a few ways, for instance, they inspired various achievements that shaped the early foundation of civilization in the west, and other parts of the world. Some of these developments arose during renaissance and industrial revolution, and impacted on various aspects of the modern world including philosophy, politics, education, and religion. Essentially, the Greeks accomplished great feats in these aspects of life, and the Ancient Greek Culture is popularly known as the birthplace of Western civilization. The purpose of this essay is to analyze how the ancient Greek’s political structure played an important role in the world history considering the fact that it had a noteworthy influence on Western Civilization.
Plato proposes that in order to function the noble lie effectively, the citizens must be persuaded to believe that their political role was chosen prior to birth, due to the composition of gold, silver or bronze in their souls . This gives rise to the ‘’Myth of Metals’’ , which states that every citizen is born from the earth and must regard the native soul as their mother. The citizens possessing gold and silver are the most honored and qualified to rule, whereas a workman takes no part in protecting or governing the city and carry on all necessary lines of work. The city state must be ruled by the philosopher kings who belong to the category of rulers and possess a high degree of knowledge and are capable of identifying the activities that promote the welfare of the entire society. The philosopher kings must be chosen from amongst the class of
What’s hard is tuning out all the distractions – market predictions, economic headlines and product pitches – that can throw an investor off course. If you can ignore the noise and stay invested through good times and bad, you will be amazed at the wealth you can build. Another lesson I learned was that, it’s not necessary to take on a lot of risk in order to generate attractive returns. In life, we’re taught that success comes to those who work the hardest.