Family Fertility Analysis

The most important decision made by the couples is the fertility decision. Household decision about fertility decides family size which influence the household require for goods, the supply of labour to the market, and the production of household goods. Family size has an effect on the allocation of resources within the household. Individual’s judgments about the number of children also conclude the size of future generations of workers and consumers, therefore, affecting an economy’s development. The observed literature on fertility shows that a couple’s preferred family size is powerfully related to a variety of socio-economic factors. These include education, income, age at marriage, religion, employment, and assets. The majority of studies

Fertility is one of the most important factors, essential for continuance of human being life on ground and donates intensively in population expansion with the decline of desirable mortality. Analysis of Fertility is very important for the policy makers to get direction for programs concerned to family planning. It is also helpful in evaluation of such programs that base on the results of analysis. The analysis of fertility is evenly significant for both economically under-developed and developed nations. It is essential for the developed countries where fertility has arrived at below substitute level; the condition is generating the difficulty of lack of man-power in the labour-market. On the other side many developing are facing the problem of rapid population growth that is above the replacement level of fertility. These countries are confronted with the problem of scarce resources to meet the growing demand of population. In Pakistan the rapid population growth is creating a great hindrance to the social and economic progress of the country.

Many developing countries are facing the problem of rapid population growth. Pakistan is in the early stage of demographic transition from the past two decades. Mortality

Pakistan is at the early stage of change from the past two decades (Buriro and Ali, 2008). The average of more than six children per women has begin to turn down in 1980’s (Sultan and Arnold, 1992; Alam and Feeney, 2003). Rapid population created great hindrance to social and economic progress of country. Realizing the adverse consequences of rapid population growth, A Population Welfare Programme was first launched in early 1960’s. But Pakistan is still far away from success. Average number of children ever born has declined to 3.87 according to PDHS 2006-07 which was 4.1 (as cited in Hashmi and Zafar, 1997) in 1990-91 PDHS. Currently Government is facing the severe shortage of resources in energy sector (gas, electricity) which cause load shedding. Most part of resources is consumed to fulfill the requirements of increased population and less is utilized for productivity purpose. Shortage of food grains has also risen to its crucial level. Siddiqui (1985) had pointed out that agriculture production has decreased even in those areas where it was in abundance in the past. Livestock production has also decreased. With this rapid population growth, it will become hard to meet the growing demand of food. Decline in population growth is national concern of Government to sustain the socio-economic development. Government is trying to commence and regulate various birth control