Hurricane Simulation

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If we noticed it or not, our planet is warming up. All the way from North Pole to South Pole. Since 1906, the global average surface temperature has gone up from 1.1 to 1.6 degrees Fahrenheit, this is more noticeable in the polar regions. This effects of the rising temperatures isn’t to be taken lightly just because the average surface temperature has gone up by .5. The small change in heat is melting the glaciers, not just the north and south poles but mountain glaciers, ice sheets covering West Antarctica and Greenland, and Arctic sea ice. This is even changing the precipitation patterns, and having animals migrate to habitats that they will most likely no survive and more. Researcher Bill Fraser has been studying the drop in population of …show more content…

Two people by the name of Hall and partner Kelly Hereid, who works for ACE Tempest Re, a protection firm in Connecticut, they gather information about hurricane based on a record of Atlantic tropical cyclones from 1950 to 2012 and also gather information of the sea surface temperature data around that area. They ran 1,000 computer simulations from 1950-2012. The simulation created 63,000 separate Atlantic hurricane seasons. They found that a nine-year period without a major landfall is likely to occur once every 177 years on average. According to NASA the U.S has gone nine years without a …show more content…

The study also found that there has been an increases in greenhouse gas emissions and because of that the risk of severe droughts in these regions has increased. "Natural droughts like the 1930s Dust Bowl and the current drought in the Southwest have historically lasted maybe a decade or a little less," said Ben Cook, climate scientist at NASA 's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University in New York City, and lead author of the study. "What these results are saying is we 're going to get a drought similar to those events, but it is probably going to last at least 30 to 35 years." Thanks to Cook, he stated that the possibility of a megadrought, a drought that can last more than three decades, is around 12 percent. If greenhouse gas emissions stop increasing in the mid-21st century, Cook and his colleagues predicts that the chances of a megadrought to reach more than 60 percent. But, if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century there will be a 80 percent chance of a megadrought that can last to a decades in the Southwest and Central Plains between the years 2050 and

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